BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Avoca AHST

Class: A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Western Iowa Record: (14-6-0) Overall: (74-27-0) Overall Strength =   68.23

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/31/2001 Away    W      72.71  15   7    8  5 ( 86- 17-  0) Stanton                 4.61      3.39                      
 2 09/14/2001 Away    L *    56.61   0   7   1A 22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood             -11.49      4.49                      
 3 09/21/2001 Home    L      45.82   7  28   1A 16 ( 68- 31-  0) Logan-Magnolia        -22.28      1.28                      
 4 09/28/2001 Home    L      56.82   0  24   1A  4 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert          -11.27    -12.73                      
 5 10/05/2001 Away    W      55.99  26   7   1A 57 ( 14- 76-  0) Sloan Westwood        -12.10     31.10                      
 6 10/12/2001 Home    W *    63.28  25   7   1A 48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       -4.82     22.82                      
 7 10/19/2001 Away    W      85.68  32   0    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley    17.58     14.42                      
 8 10/26/2001 Away    W      78.12  35   0   1A 53 ( 23- 67-  0) Onawa West Monona      10.02     24.98                      
 9 09/06/2002 Away    L      45.32   6  34   ZZ 12 (  3-  1-  0) Rock Port MO          -22.77     -5.23                      
10 09/13/2002 Home    W      74.83  28  18    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center          6.73      3.27                      
11 09/20/2002 Away    W *    66.33  24   6   1A 48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center       -1.76     19.76                      
12 09/27/2002 Home    W *    70.02  35  21   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold                1.92     12.08                      
13 10/04/2002 Away    W * *  65.32   9   0    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside      -2.78     11.78                      
14 10/11/2002 Home    W   *  49.02  17   7    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -19.07     29.07                      
15 10/18/2002 Away    L   *  45.43   6  20    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -22.66      8.66                      
16 10/25/2002 Home    L *    17.55  13  56   1A 22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood             -50.54      7.54                      
17 11/01/2002 Away    L      70.88  10  23   1A  4 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert            2.78    -15.78                      
18 09/05/2003 Home    W      76.27  20  14   ZZ 12 (  3-  1-  0) Rock Port MO            8.17     -2.17                      
19 09/12/2003 Away    L      53.88  14  28    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center        -14.21      0.21                      
20 09/19/2003 Home    W *    73.28  41  13   1A 48 ( 27- 56-  0) Neola Tri-Center        5.18     22.82                      
21 09/26/2003 Away    W *    83.07  42  18   1A 29 ( 46- 44-  0) Griswold               14.98      9.02                      
22 10/03/2003 Home    W * *  69.26  31  15    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside       1.17     14.83                      
23 10/10/2003 Away    W   *  53.08  21  10    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -15.02     26.02                      
24 10/17/2003 Home    L   *   3.38   7  60    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -64.72     11.72                      
25 10/24/2003 Away    L *    57.61  14  20   1A 22 ( 59- 38-  1) Underwood             -10.49      4.49                      
26 10/31/2003 Home    L      27.82   0  53   1A  4 (109- 14-  0) CB St Albert          -40.27    -12.73                      
27 09/03/2004 Home    W   *  63.94  42   7    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison          -4.16     39.16                      
28 09/10/2004 Away    L      78.12  26  30   ZZ  2 ( 60- 14-  0) Manning                10.02    -14.02                      
29 09/17/2004 Home    W      83.62  33   0    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley    15.53     17.47                      
30 09/24/2004 Home    W     106.65  44   0   ZZ 21 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM            38.56      5.44                      
31 10/01/2004 Away    W      85.74  72   6   1A 62 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       17.65     48.35                      
32 10/08/2004 Home    W      61.35  21  14    8 14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine               -6.75     13.75                      
33 10/15/2004 Away    W      71.88  23  19    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center          3.79      0.21                      
34 10/22/2004 Home    W      72.20  42   8    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM               4.10     29.90                      
35 10/29/2004 Away    L *    32.10   7  47   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor               -35.99     -4.01                      
36 09/02/2005 Away    W   *  92.99  61   0    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison          24.90     36.10                      
37 09/09/2005 Home    W      88.06  15   6   ZZ  2 ( 60- 14-  0) Manning                19.97    -10.97                      
38 09/16/2005 Away    W      86.68  41   8    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley    18.58     14.42                      
39 09/23/2005 Away    W      92.71  27   0   ZZ 21 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM            24.61      2.39                      
40 09/29/2005 Home    W      59.69  62  19   1A 62 ( 10- 64-  0) Clarinda Academy       -8.41     51.41                      
41 10/07/2005 Away    W      75.40  34  16    8 14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine                7.30     10.70                      
42 10/14/2005 Home    W      66.83  19  17    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         -1.27      3.27                      
43 10/21/2005 Away    W      91.25  56   6    8 29 ( 48- 48-  0) Anita CAM              23.16     26.84                      
44 10/28/2005 Home    W *    74.05  12   7   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                 5.95     -0.95                      
45 11/02/2005 Home    W      73.94  37   0    A 42 ( 45- 51-  0) Martensdale-St Marys    5.84     31.16                      
46 11/07/2005 Home    W      81.07  35  29    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 12.98     -6.98                      
47 11/12/2005 Neutral L      66.90  34  37    8  4 ( 72- 33-  0) West Bend-Mallard      -1.20     -1.80                      
48 09/01/2006 Home    W      79.35  31   6    8 14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine               11.25     13.75                      
49 09/08/2006 Away    W *    82.10  17   7   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                14.01     -4.01                      
50 09/15/2006 Home    L      51.06  13  41   ZZ  2 ( 60- 14-  0) Manning               -17.03    -10.97                      
51 09/22/2006 Away    W   *  69.99  44   6    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison           1.90     36.10                      
52 09/29/2006 Home    W      85.62  42   7    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley    17.53     17.47                      
53 10/06/2006 Away    W      69.16  41  12    8 31 ( 20- 70-  0) River Valley            1.06     27.94                      
54 10/13/2006 Away    W   *  94.43  41   6    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                26.34      8.66                      
55 10/20/2006 Home    L      58.83  14  20    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center         -9.27      3.27                      
56 10/27/2006 Away    L      54.71  24  35   ZZ 21 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM           -13.39      2.39                      
57 08/31/2007 Away    W     105.40  48   0    8 14 ( 48- 45-  0) Woodbine               37.30     10.70                      
58 09/07/2007 Home    W *   108.05  51  12   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                39.95     -0.95                      
59 09/14/2007 Away    W      94.12  24  12   ZZ  2 ( 60- 14-  0) Manning                26.02    -14.02                      
60 09/21/2007 Home    W   *  81.94  59   6    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison          13.84     39.16                      
61 09/28/2007 Away    W      99.68  46   0    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley    31.58     14.42                      
62 10/05/2007 Home    W      92.10  61   6    8 31 ( 20- 70-  0) River Valley           24.01     30.99  non-district        
63 10/12/2007 Home    W   *  73.38  29  12    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                 5.28     11.72                      
64 10/19/2007 Away    W      68.88  17  16    A  8 ( 64- 35-  0) Guthrie Center          0.79      0.21                      
65 10/26/2007 Home    W      73.65  29  18   ZZ 21 ( 38- 29-  0) Manilla IKM             5.56      5.44                      
66 10/31/2007 Home    W      94.53  48   8    A 19 ( 43- 51-  0) Woodbury Central       26.44     13.56                      
67 11/05/2007 Home    L      42.18  21  34   1A 31 ( 42- 54-  0) Lawton-Bronson        -25.92     12.92                      
68 08/29/2008 Home    W * *  89.26  36   0    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside      21.17     14.83  non-district        
69 09/05/2008 Away    W      64.12  35  14   1A 53 ( 23- 67-  0) Onawa West Monona      -3.98     24.98                      
70 09/12/2008 Home    W *    99.05  30   0   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                30.95     -0.95                      
71 09/19/2008 Away    W      75.68  34  12    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley     7.58     14.42                      
72 09/26/2008 Home    W   *  83.94  55   0    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison          15.84     39.16                      
73 10/03/2008 Home    W      89.07  21   7    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 20.98     -6.98                      
74 10/10/2008 Home    W   *  99.38  49   6    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                31.28     11.72                      
75 10/17/2008 Away    W   *  59.08  34  17    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                -9.02     26.02                      
76 10/24/2008 Neutral W      62.38  38   0    8 50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    -5.71     43.71                      
77 10/29/2008 Home    W      59.32  20  14    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter              -8.77     14.77                      
78 11/03/2008 Home    W      58.24  27   7    A 40 ( 31- 64-  0) Colo-NESCO             -9.86     29.86                      
79 11/07/2008 Home    L      60.07  27  42    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 -8.02     -6.98                      
80 08/28/2009 Away    W * *  70.32  41  27    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside       2.22     11.78  nd                  
81 09/04/2009 Home    W      63.06  47  24   1A 53 ( 23- 67-  0) Onawa West Monona      -5.03     28.03                      
82 09/11/2009 Away    W *    82.10  28  18   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor                14.01     -4.01                      
83 09/18/2009 Home    W      70.62  27   7    8 16 ( 39- 53-  0) Dunlap Boyer Valley     2.53     17.47                      
84 09/25/2009 Away    W   *  74.99  49   6    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison           6.90     36.10                      
85 10/02/2009 Away    W      79.13  42  41    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                 11.03    -10.03  nd                  
86 10/09/2009 Away    W   *  85.43  40  14    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                17.34      8.66                      
87 10/16/2009 Home    W   *  68.02  69  40    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning                -0.07     29.07                      
88 10/23/2009 Home    W      60.86  46   8    8 50 ( 31- 62-  0) Tabor Fremont-Mills    -7.24     45.24                      
89 10/28/2009 Home    W      87.76  42   0    A 32 ( 44- 50-  0) Southeast Warren       19.66     22.34                      
90 11/02/2009 Home    W   *  89.38  47  14    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford                21.28     11.72                      
91 11/06/2009 Home    L      48.07  15  42    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                -20.02     -6.98                      
92 08/27/2010 Away    L      48.60   6   9   1A 41 ( 53- 44-  0) Nodaway Valley        -19.49     16.49  ND                  
93 09/03/2010 Home    L *    36.05   7  40   1A 13 ( 71- 32-  0) Treynor               -32.05     -0.95  ND                  
94 09/10/2010 Home    L      32.32   7  28    A 21 ( 62- 36-  0) Van Meter             -35.77     14.77  ND                  
95 09/17/2010 Away    W      73.15  35   7    A 36 ( 40- 55-  0) Earlham                 5.06     22.94  ND                  
96 09/24/2010 Away    W   *  55.08  20   7    A 39 ( 25- 65-  1) Corning               -13.02     26.02                      
97 10/01/2010 Home    L * *  50.26  21  24    A 22 ( 44- 47-  0) Oakland Riverside     -17.83     14.83                      
98 10/08/2010 Away    L   *  27.70   7  26    A 34 ( 10-  9-  0) Exira-Elk Horn-Kimb   -40.40     21.40                      
99 10/15/2010 Home    W   *  44.94  49  33    A 43 ( 14- 76-  0) West Harrison         -23.16     39.16                      
100 10/22/2010 Away    L   *  10.43  13  62    A 16 ( 54- 43-  0) Bedford               -57.66      8.66                      
101 10/27/2010 Away    L      32.13   6  52    A  1 ( 99- 18-  0) Madrid                -35.97    -10.03                      
      Averages              68.23  29.6 16.7

Best game:  108.05 = 39 point win over Treynor
Worst game:   3.38 = 53 point loss to Bedford
Team stdev:  20.66